SGPLABResearch

NBA · Indiana Pacers · Player

Aaron Nesmith

2026-27: 11.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.8 ast · 23.9 min · 12 games

Next gameNot on the board yet. Lines appear once books post his props.

Game log

Each stat is shaded against that night's closing line (DraftKings, else FanDuel): green went over, red went under, unshaded had no line. Show lines prints each line and its over price under the stat.

DateOppResultMinPtsFG3PRebAstStlBlkTOPFPRA
November
11/11vsWSHW 114-101222o13.5 -1101-60-4o2.5 +1321o3.5 -117100024
11/9@DALL 122-1253418o11.5 -1205-144-10o2.5 +1402o3.5 +1022112422
11/7vsDENL 102-114278o12.5 -1243-112-7o2.5 +1335o3.5 +1121002514
11/4@MEMW 107-1033016o12.5 -1077-162-6o2.5 +1471o3.5 -1062311319
11/1vsBKNL 90-983011o13.5 -1073-80-4o1.5 -1623o3.5 +1164o1.5 -111103218
November averages28.611.03.8-11.01.6-6.22.42.01.00.41.63.215.4
October
10/30@MIAL 125-145219o14.5 -1062-41-3o1.5 -1583o3.5 -13520o0.5 -12801414
10/28vsPHIL 109-1142718o11.5 -1215-163-9o1.5 -1682o3.5 +1071202321
10/26@MILL 102-1102113o11.5 -1115-113-7o1.5 -1560o3.5 +1201111214
10/25@BKNW 136-1091913o10.5 +1005-102-5o1.5 -1561o3.5 +1082002016
10/23vsDALL 105-121209o10.5 -1082-71-5o1.5 -1424o3.5 -1051001414
10/10vsATLL 117-1192072-61-415101313
10/7vsMINW 123-11216197-94-600000219
October averages20.612.64.0-9.02.1-5.61.61.70.60.11.12.615.9
2026-27 averages23.911.93.9-9.81.9-5.81.91.80.80.31.32.815.7
Over the line5-54-62-81-00-1·
2025-26 game log (45 games)
DateOppResultMinPtsFG3PRebAstStlBlkTOPFPRA
March
3/27vsLACL 113-1143526o12.5 -11010-144-5o1.5 -1677o3.5 -1202105535
3/25vsLALL 130-1373214o11.5 -1196-132-8o1.5 -1623o3.5 +1241103518
3/23@ORLW 128-1263519o10.5 -1196-115-8o1.5 -1102o3.5 +1292o1.5 +131011223
3/21@SAL 119-134255o12.5 -1022-71-3o2.5 +1292o3.5 -101000057
3/18vsPORL 119-1272615o13.5 -1246-131-5o1.5 -1483o3.5 +1201101419
3/17@NYL 110-1362414o14.5 -1035-84-6o2.5 +1251o3.5 -1260000115
3/15@MILL 123-1342932o15.5 -11610-147-10o2.5 +1122o4.5 +1071013135
3/13vsNYL 92-1013412o13.5 -1165-131-5o1.5 -1882o3.5 -1652101416
3/10@SACL 109-1143529o12.5 -11210-222-7o1.5 -1534o3.5 +1123010236
3/8@PORL 111-131259o10.5 +1014-61-3o1.5 -1451o3.5 -1322101312
3/6@LALL 117-128237o9.5 -1263-101-6o1.5 -1193o3.5 -1121o1.5 -109021311
3/4@LACL 107-130202o9.5 -1211-80-4o1.5 -1303o3.5 -1232o1.5 +10400117
March averages28.615.35.7-11.62.4-5.82.81.40.40.41.43.019.5
February
2/19@WSHL 105-112153o16.5 -1050-30-2o2.5 +1122o5.5 +1021o2.5 +13100026
2/10@NYW 137-1343711o13.5 -1054-101-3o2.5 +1278o4.5 +1230o1.5 -148022519
2/8@TORL 104-122237o13.5 -1202-41-2o2.5 +1311o4.5 -108110019
2/6@MILL 99-1052712o13.5 -1294-92-6o2.5 -1041o4.5 -1511202114
2/2vsHOUL 114-1183317o12.5 +1006-133-7o1.5 -1826o4.5 -1072o1.5 -191011125
February averages27.010.03.2-7.81.4-4.03.61.00.60.61.02.014.6
January
1/31vsATLW 129-1243423o13.5 +1008-103-4o2.5 +1281o5.5 +1161o2.5 +114002425
1/28vsCHIW 113-1103414o13.5 -1185-93-5o2.5 +1174o5.5 +1214o1.5 -198110222
1/26@ATLL 116-1322918o13.5 -1196-113-6o2.5 +1222o5.5 +1154o1.5 -191003124
1/23@OKCW 117-1143617o17.5 -1207-143-5o3.5 -1405o4.5 +1055002527
1/21@BOSL 104-119286o14.5 -1063-90-4o2.5 -1013o5.5 +1024o1.5 -1580o0.5 -1400o0.5 +1161313
1/19@PHIL 104-113327o14.5 -1201-90-6o2.5 -11811o4.5 -1451o1.5 -194126419
1/16vsNOW 127-1193312o16.5 -1225-132-8o2.5 -1704o5.5 +1051o2.5 +124100417
1/14vsTORL 101-115316o15.5 -1061-120-8o2.5 +1035o5.5 -1042114213
1/12vsBOSW 98-96326o15.5 -1192-92-6o2.5 -1535o5.5 -1012o1.5 -181001113
1/10vsMIAW 123-992712o15.5 -1234-121-5o2.5 -1609o5.5 +1202o2.5 +127001123
1/8@CHAW 114-1123516o16.5 -1155-123-7o2.5 -1285o4.5 -1362o2.5 -136112523
1/6vsCLEL 116-1203314o16.5 -1095-173-7o2.5 -1548o4.5 -1514o1.5 -142102126
1/4@ORLL 127-1353425o13.5 -1258-165-11o2.5 +1084o4.5 -1138o1.5 -104024437
1/2vsSAL 113-123299o13.5 -1243-61-2o2.5 +1143o4.5 +1003o1.5 +121013615
January averages31.913.24.5-11.42.1-6.04.93.10.40.62.23.121.2
December
12/31vsORLL 110-112329o11.5 -1063-112-6o1.5 -19010o3.5 -1250310419
12/29@HOUL 119-1262414o8.5 -1105-84-6o1.5 +1183o2.5 -1413011120
12/27@MIAL 116-142199o8.5 -1293-93-8o1.5 -1185o2.5 -1611021315
December averages25.010.73.7-9.33.0-6.76.01.31.01.30.72.718.0
November
11/13@PHXL 98-1332010o16.5 -1033-91-3o2.5 -1483o4.5 -1421100214
11/11@UTAHL 128-1523217o16.5 -1095-144-9o2.5 -1474o4.5 +10171o0.5 -20010328
11/8@DENL 100-1172625o15.5 -1187-103-4o2.5 -1521o4.5 +1050o1.5 -106401326
11/5vsBKNL 103-1123215o17.5 -1256-173-9o2.5 -1447o4.5 -1382103224
11/3vsMILL 115-1173417o15.5 -1255-162-9o2.5 -1197o4.5 -1151101325
11/1vsGSW 114-1093531o14.5 -12210-195-11o2.5 +1076o4.5 -1301001238
November averages29.819.26.0-14.23.0-7.54.72.01.30.21.02.525.8
October
10/31vsATLL 108-1282512o16.5 -1183-112-8o2.5 -1282o5.5 +1141100115
10/29@DALL 105-107375o15.5 -1132-161-9o2.5 -1023o4.5 -1241o1.5 -14001129
10/26@MINL 110-1143518o12.5 -1146-175-12o1.5 -1538o4.5 +10820o0.5 -17400128
10/25@MEML 103-1283115o13.5 -1145-114-6o1.5 -1741o4.5 -1181o1.5 -164010217
10/23vsOKCL 135-141275o13.5 -1212-71-3o2.5 +1257o4.5 +1100o1.5 -164001612
October averages31.011.03.6-12.42.6-7.64.21.00.20.40.42.416.2
2025-26 averages29.613.84.7-11.42.3-6.24.21.90.60.51.42.819.9
Over the line19-2622-2317-2810-121-20-1

What the boards say

ToolFlagNumberWhat's behind it
Hit RatesUnder his rebounds line2-820% over this season, against the closing line each night
VolatilityStreaky points1.60 VOL#38 of 299 in game-to-game swing (1.00 = typical)
Game logMinutes up+8.0 min28.6 a game over his last 5, 20.6 before that

Points vs each line

Last 20 games. Green bars beat that night's closing line (DraftKings, else FanDuel); red bars missed; grey had no line.

LineShift
PTS vs line10/18 over (56%)
01836NY3/13o13.5NY3/17o14.5SA3/21o12.5LAL3/25o11.5MIN10/7DAL10/23o10.5MIL10/26o11.5MIA10/30o14.5MEM11/4o12.5DAL11/9o11.5
Beat lineUnder lineNo market Prop line

Points alt ladder

No game on the board yet. The ladder appears once books post his props.

Who's on the floor with him

Share of his minutes each teammate is on the court for, this season. Together is minutes a game they share; the index compares that to what their minutes alone would predict (1.00 = no pattern).

TeammateShare of his minutesTogetherIndexGames
Pascal Siakam 81%19.41.2612
Andrew Nembhard 73%17.51.0911
Ivica Zubac 62%14.81.418
Kelly Oubre Jr. 46%11.11.0411
Jay Huff 33%7.81.049
Quenton Jackson 32%7.60.689
Obi Toppin 29%7.00.719
Jarace Walker 26%6.10.619

Every pair on Minutes Overlap