MLB · Team Predictability · Market Shift · This Season · pool 101
MLB Team Predictability
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Which MLB teams the market keeps repricing — how far tonight’s lines sit from each player’s recent base rate. Indexed so 100 = a league-typical game; higher = more uncertain. The ± column carries the noise honestly (small samples). Click a team for its game-by-game form vs a typical game.
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| # | Team | SHIFT | ± | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | 100 | 2.1 | 159 |
| 2 |  | 100 | 2.8 | 158 |
| 3 |  | 99 | 2.8 | 155 |
| 4 |  | 99 | 2.4 | 161 |
| 5 |  | 99 | 2.6 | 156 |
| 6 |  | 99 | 2.0 | 170 |
| 7 |  | 98 | 1.9 | 164 |
| 8 |  | 98 | 2.1 | 154 |
| 9 |  | 98 | 2.0 | 154 |
| 10 |  | 98 | 2.2 | 165 |
| 11 |  | 97 | 2.4 | 157 |
| 12 |  | 97 | 1.4 | 156 |
| 13 |  | 97 | 2.5 | 157 |
| 14 |  | 97 | 2.1 | 157 |
| 15 |  | 97 | 2.1 | 166 |
| 16 |  | 96 | 1.6 | 161 |
| 17 |  | 96 | 1.7 | 155 |
| 18 |  | 96 | 2.5 | 150 |
| 19 |  | 96 | 2.2 | 169 |
| 20 |  | 96 | 2.4 | 153 |
| 21 |  | 96 | 1.9 | 155 |
| 22 |  | 95 | 2.1 | 165 |
| 23 |  | 95 | 1.8 | 171 |
| 24 |  | 95 | 2.2 | 154 |
| 25 |  | 95 | 1.7 | 156 |
| 26 |  | 95 | 1.8 | 157 |
| 27 |  | 95 | 2.5 | 158 |
| 28 |  | 95 | 2.3 | 158 |
| 29 |  | 94 | 2.0 | 159 |
| 30 |  | 92 | 2.0 | 156 |