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NFL · Team Reverse Correlation · 1st Half WIN ▲ + Full Game WIN ▼ · Last 3 Seasons

NFL Team Correlation Tool

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The team-subject inverse: give each segment × market leg its own direction and see how often a NFL team clears the whole mixed combo in one game — e.g. wins the first 5 innings ▲ but loses the game ▼. Tap a market to cycle it over ▲ → under ▼ → off, then use each leg’s Δ stepper to walk its line onto any alternate rung. Click a row for the per-leg dot grid.

Set Favorite / Underdog before reading a spread — “fails to cover” means lost or tied as the −0.5 favorite but lost outright as the +0.5 dog, so a pooled rate isn’t bettable. Set ties to match your book: two-way moneylines push, three-way ones make the draw a loss and pay more (~1.3pp on the MLB F5 combo). Lines are the consensus closing line across every book that posted the market.

1st Half WIN ▲Full Game WIN ▼
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lg avg 11.6% · 32 teams
TeamGamesPUSHRECCombo %Edge
NYJNYJ4038-3220.0%▼10.6%
INDIND4218-3419.0%▼0.4%
PHIPHI4448-3618.2%▼1.1%
ATLATL3947-3217.9%▼6.6%
TENTEN4117-3417.1%▼11.6%
BALBAL4237-3516.7%▼0.3%
CINCIN4026-3415.0%▼9.9%
MIAMIA4026-3415.0%▼11.2%
NONO4026-3415.0%▼15.1%
GBGB4146-3514.6%▼1.3%
JAXJAX43—6-3714.0%▼11.2%
NYGNYG3665-3113.9%▼6.1%
HOUHOU4516-3913.3%▼12.3%
NENE4526-3913.3%▼10.3%
LVLV3945-3412.8%▼11.0%
ARIARI4035-3512.5%▼10.4%
DALDAL4035-3512.5%▼6.4%
SFSF4225-3711.9%▼17.8%
LALA4355-3811.6%▼6.2%
WASWAS3964-3510.3%▼15.3%
PITPIT4134-379.8%▼8.0%
DENDEN4244-389.5%▼16.7%
KCKC4234-389.5%▼4.7%
TBTB4224-389.5%▼10.9%
CLECLE3943-367.7%▼11.5%
LACLAC4133-387.3%▼21.9%
MINMIN4032-385.0%▼14.8%
CARCAR4122-394.9%▼19.9%
SEASEA4242-404.8%▼16.8%
CHICHI4412-424.5%▼20.0%
DETDET3941-382.6%▼15.6%
BUFBUF4431-432.3%▼16.7%