NFL · Prop Lab · Rush Yards
NFL Prop Lab
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Backtest NFL rush yards props against any combination of filters — player, opponent, spread/total, home/away, weather, season — and get the pooled record, units, ROI, and a cumulative P&L. Graded at the book’s real closing line. Every filter you add shrinks the sample and multiplies the ways to find a pattern that won’t repeat, so read the record alongside the ROI. Click a breakdown row for the game-by-game.
Break down by
min gamesRush Yards Over · DraftKings
| Player ⇅ | REC ⇅ | Over % ⇅ | Units ⇅ | ROI ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24-9 | ▲12.2u | ▲36.9% | |
 | 25-12 | ▲9.6u | ▲26.0% | |
 | 27-17 | ▲6.6u | ▲15.0% | |
 | 26-17 | ▲5.9u | ▲13.8% | |
| 23-16 | ▲4.6u | ▲11.8% | |
 | 24-17 | ▲4.4u | ▲10.7% | |
 | 24-17 | ▲4.3u | ▲10.6% | |
 | 25-18 | ▲4.1u | ▲9.5% | |
 | 5-1 | ▲3.5u | ▲58.3% | |
 | 6-2 | ▲3.3u | ▲41.8% | |
 | 14-10 | ▲2.5u | ▲10.6% | |
 | 21-16 | ▲2.5u | ▲6.9% | |
| 22-17 | ▲2.4u | ▲6.2% | |
| 5-2 | ▲2.4u | ▲34.5% | |
| 4-1 | ▲2.4u | ▲47.4% | |
 | 6-3 | ▲2.4u | ▲26.2% | |
| 7-4 | ▲2.1u | ▲19.1% | |
 | 8-5 | ▲2.0u | ▲15.2% | |
 | 18-14 | ▲1.8u | ▲5.7% | |
| 2-0 | ▲1.8u | ▲87.9% | |
| 9-6 | ▲1.7u | ▲11.6% | |
 | 3-1 | ▲1.7u | ▲42.2% | |
| 3-1 | ▲1.7u | ▲42.0% | |
 | 4-2 | ▲1.7u | ▲27.9% | |
 | 3-1 | ▲1.7u | ▲41.8% | |
 | 1-1 | ▲1.5u | ▲75.0% | |
 | 8-6 | ▲1.3u | ▲9.1% | |
| 5-3 | ▲1.2u | ▲15.5% | |
| 8-6 | ▲1.2u | ▲8.5% | |
| 8-6 | ▲1.1u | ▲7.9% | |
| 22-18 | ▲1.1u | ▲2.7% | |
 | 1-0 | ▲1.0u | ▲95.2% | |
| 17-14 | ▲0.9u | ▲3.0% | |
| 1-0 | ▲0.9u | ▲90.9% | |
| 1-0 | ▲0.9u | ▲90.9% | |
| 1-0 | ▲0.9u | ▲90.9% | |
| 1-0 | ▲0.9u | ▲90.1% | |
 | 1-0 | ▲0.9u | ▲90.1% | |
| 25-21 | ▲0.9u | ▲1.9% | |
| 8-6 | ▲0.9u | ▲6.2% | |
| 2-1 | ▲0.8u | ▲28.2% | |
 | 1-0 | ▲0.8u | ▲83.3% | |
| 1-0 | ▲0.8u | ▲83.3% | |
 | 1-0 | ▲0.8u | ▲83.3% | |
| 2-1 | ▲0.8u | ▲27.3% | |
| 2-1 | ▲0.8u | ▲26.2% | |
| 4-3 | ▲0.7u | ▲10.2% | |
 | 3-2 | ▲0.7u | ▲13.9% | |
 | 11-9 | ▲0.7u | ▲3.3% | |
| 4-3 | ▲0.6u | ▲8.7% | |
| 4-3 | ▲0.6u | ▲8.4% | |
 | 22-19 | ▲0.6u | ▲1.3% | |
 | 15-13 | ▲0.3u | ▲1.0% | |
 | 3-3 | ▲0.2u | ▲3.9% | |
| 3-3 | ▲0.2u | ▲2.9% | |
 | 1-1 | ▲0.1u | ▲5.0% | |
| 9-8 | ▲0.1u | ▲0.4% | |
| 1-1 | ▼0.1u | ▼3.7% | |
| 1-1 | ▼0.1u | ▼3.7% | |
| 1-1 | ▼0.1u | ▼4.5% | |
| 1-1 | ▼0.1u | ▼5.0% | |
| 1-1 | ▼0.1u | ▼5.0% | |
 | 1-1 | ▼0.1u | ▼5.8% | |
| 1-1 | ▼0.1u | ▼6.1% | |
| 1-1 | ▼0.1u | ▼6.9% | |
| 1-1 | ▼0.1u | ▼7.3% | |
| 1-1 | ▼0.2u | ▼7.6% | |
| 1-1 | ▼0.2u | ▼8.0% | |
| 1-1 | ▼0.2u | ▼8.3% | |
 | 2-2 | ▼0.2u | ▼4.7% | |
| 2-2 | ▼0.2u | ▼5.1% | |
| 19-17 | ▼0.3u | ▼0.8% | |
| 3-3 | ▼0.4u | ▼6.8% | |
| 20-18 | ▼0.5u | ▼1.2% | |
| 5-5 | ▼0.5u | ▼4.9% | |
 | 5-5 | ▼0.5u | ▼5.4% | |
| 5-5 | ▼0.6u | ▼5.8% | |
| 6-6 | ▼0.7u | ▼5.5% | |
| 12-11 | ▼0.7u | ▼3.1% | |
| 8-8 | ▼0.8u | ▼5.0% | |
| 13-12 | ▼0.8u | ▼3.2% | |
| 23-21 | ▼0.8u | ▼1.9% | |
| 8-8 | ▼0.9u | ▼5.8% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% | |
| 0-1 | ▼1.0u | ▼100.0% |
Each filter you add shrinks the sample and multiplies the ways to find a pattern that won’t repeat. Read the record alongside the ROI — a thin sample moves a long way on one game. Lines/prices are closing numbers; pushes are excluded from the record.