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NHL · Price Outliers

NHL Price Outliers

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Player props where one sportsbook is well off the rest of the market on the same player, line and side, across every NHL game on the board. Ranked by how far, in points of probability, so a 200-1 that’s 100-1 elsewhere doesn’t outrank a +750 that’s +500 everywhere else. Pulled lines are dropped, quotes that stopped updating are dropped, and books whose outliers usually turn out to be stale are hidden until you ask for them, all based on how each book’s past outliers held up to the closing line.

NHL · 183 outliers · 5+ pts off the market · −150 to +1000
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183 prices
PlayerBetBookPriceMarketGapEVBook recordGame
UTACLAYTON KELLERC. KELLERo0.5 Power-Play Pointsbetmgm+210+142 ×69.0+9.7%+1.5%UTA @ VGK
ANAJUDD CAULFIELDJ. CAULFIELDo1.5 Shots on Goalnovig+127-110 ×98.3+6.6%+1.0%NSH @ ANA
PITNICK ROBERTSONN. ROBERTSONo1.5 Shots on Goalprophetx-107-150 ×78.3+6.6%+0.8%PIT @ SJS
VGKMITCH MARNERM. MARNERo0.5 Goals altkalshi+300+201 ×48.3+8.3%+4.5%UTA @ VGK
TBLYANNI GOURDEY. GOURDEo0.5 Goalskalshi+488+300 ×48.0+18.5%+4.5%TBL @ BUF
CGYMATT CORONATOM. CORONATOo0.5 Power-Play Pointsbetmgm+310+210 ×57.9+13.9%+1.5%NYR @ CGY
VGKTREVOR CONNELLYT. CONNELLYo1.5 Shots on Goalnovig-113-155 ×97.7 +1+3.8%+1.0%UTA @ VGK
PITBEN KINDELB. KINDELo0.5 Pointskalshi+108-126 ×127.7+4.0%+4.5%PIT @ SJS
EDMRYAN NUGENT-HOPKINSR. NUGENT-HOPKINSo0.5 Goalskalshi+285+197 ×47.6+0.6%+4.5%PHI @ EDM
EDMCONNOR MCDAVIDC. MCDAVIDo0.5 Goals altkalshi+150+110 ×57.6+8.4%+4.5%PHI @ EDM
EDMOWEN MICHAELSO. MICHAELSo0.5 Goals altkalshi+809+437 ×47.6+24.9%+4.5%PHI @ EDM
CGYAYDAR SUNIEVA. SUNIEVo1.5 Shots on Goalprophetx+126-107 ×107.6+6.7%+0.8%NYR @ CGY
PITERIK KARLSSONE. KARLSSONu1.5 Shots on Goal altnovig+178+130 ×57.5+5.0%+1.0%PIT @ SJS
UTALOGAN COOLEYL. COOLEYo1.5 Shots on Goal altnovig-141-192 ×97.2 +1+3.2%+1.0%UTA @ VGK
UTANICK SCHMALTZN. SCHMALTZo1.5 Shots on Goal altnovig-147-200 ×77.2 +1+0.5%+1.0%UTA @ VGK
EDMRYAN NUGENT-HOPKINSR. NUGENT-HOPKINSo1.5 Shots on Goal altnovig-141-191 ×87.1 +1+2.8%+1.0%PHI @ EDM
VGKVICTOR OLOFSSONV. OLOFSSONo1.5 Shots on Goalprophetx-114-152 ×107.1+3.6%+0.8%UTA @ VGK
EDMRYAN NUGENT-HOPKINSR. NUGENT-HOPKINSo0.5 Goalsnovig+277+197 ×47.1−1.5%+1.0%PHI @ EDM
ANAJACKSON LACOMBEJ. LACOMBEo0.5 Goalskalshi+733+425 ×57.0+10.3%+4.5%NSH @ ANA
UTAMICHAEL CARCONEM. CARCONEu1.5 Shots on Goalprophetx-127-170 ×57.0+1.9%+0.8%UTA @ VGK
NSHSHANE WRIGHTS. WRIGHTo1.5 Shots on Goalprophetx+160+120 ×107.0+9.7%+0.8%NSH @ ANA
NSHSHANE WRIGHTS. WRIGHTo1.5 Shots on Goalnovig+160+120 ×107.0+9.7%+1.0%NSH @ ANA
PITERIK KARLSSONE. KARLSSONu1.5 Shots on Goal altprophetx+174+130 ×57.0+3.5%+0.8%PIT @ SJS
CGYYEGOR SHARANGOVICHY. SHARANGOVICHo1.5 Shots on Goalnovig-102-135 ×97.0−2.5%+1.0%NYR @ CGY
TBLILYA MIKHEYEVI. MIKHEYEVo0.5 Goalskalshi+614+377 ×46.9+5.0%+4.5%TBL @ BUF
CGYMIKAEL BACKLUNDM. BACKLUNDo0.5 Goalskalshi+426+287 ×46.8+10.5%+4.5%NYR @ CGY
PHIJAMIE DRYSDALEJ. DRYSDALEo1.5 Shots on Goalnovig+160+121 ×86.8+8.0%+1.0%PHI @ EDM
TBLYANNI GOURDEY. GOURDEu1.5 Shots on Goalhardrockbet-130-172 ×46.8+3.2%+2.5%TBL @ BUF
BUFTAGE THOMPSONT. THOMPSONo3.5 Shots on Goalprophetx+138+105 ×106.8+3.5%+0.8%TBL @ BUF
BUFTAGE THOMPSONT. THOMPSONo3.5 Shots on Goalnovig+138+105 ×106.8 +1+3.5%+1.0%TBL @ BUF
EDMALEX FORMENTONA. FORMENTONo0.5 Goalskalshi+900+502 ×46.6+7.9%+4.5%PHI @ EDM
EDMOWEN MICHAELSO. MICHAELSo0.5 Goals altnovig+733+437 ×46.6+14.5%+1.0%PHI @ EDM
NYROLIVER BJORKSTRANDO. BJORKSTRANDo2.5 Shots on Goal altespnbet+380+265 ×56.6 +1+11.6%*+0.6%NYR @ CGY
NSHROMAN JOSIR. JOSIo2.5 Shots on Goalprophetx+113-115 ×116.5+2.2%+0.8%NSH @ ANA
PITEVGENI MALKINE. MALKINo2.5 Shots on Goalnovig+186+141 ×86.5+11.2%+1.0%PIT @ SJS
TBLYANNI GOURDEY. GOURDEo0.5 Goalsnovig+441+300 ×46.5+9.0%+1.0%TBL @ BUF
PITNICK ROBERTSONN. ROBERTSONo1.5 Shots on Goalnovig-115-150 ×76.5+3.0%+1.0%PIT @ SJS
EDMEVAN BOUCHARDE. BOUCHARDo2.5 Shots on Goalprophetx+108-120 ×96.5+4.0%+0.8%PHI @ EDM
VGKBRETT HOWDENB. HOWDENo1.5 Shots on Goalnovig+147+113 ×86.5+7.1%+1.0%UTA @ VGK
SJSJACOB TROUBAJ. TROUBAo0.5 Power-Play Pointsbetrivers+430+295 ×56.4+22.3%+2.1%PIT @ SJS
CGYMORGAN FROSTM. FROSTo1.5 Shots on Goalnovig-108-140 ×96.4+3.5%+1.0%NYR @ CGY
VGKMARK STONEM. STONEo0.5 Power-Play Pointsbetmgm+175+134 ×66.4+2.3%+1.5%UTA @ VGK
UTABARRETT HAYTONB. HAYTONo0.5 Goalskalshi+426+294 ×46.4−2.0%+4.5%UTA @ VGK
UTABARRETT HAYTONB. HAYTONo0.5 Goalsnovig+426+294 ×46.4−2.0%+1.0%UTA @ VGK
UTANICK SCHMALTZN. SCHMALTZo0.5 Power-Play Pointsbetmgm+300+219 ×66.4+8.5%+1.5%UTA @ VGK
CGYAYDAR SUNIEVA. SUNIEVo1.5 Shots on Goalnovig+120-107 ×106.3+3.9%+1.0%NYR @ CGY
CGYMIKAEL BACKLUNDM. BACKLUNDo0.5 Goalsnovig+413+287 ×46.3+7.7%+1.0%NYR @ CGY
CGYMATT CORONATOM. CORONATOo0.5 Goalskalshi+285+210 ×56.3+5.2%+4.5%NYR @ CGY
VGKTREVOR CONNELLYT. CONNELLYo1.5 Shots on Goalbetmgm-120-155 ×96.2+1.0%+1.5%UTA @ VGK
NSHRYAN O'REILLYR. O'REILLYo1.5 Shots on Goalnovig-120-155 ×116.2+2.3%+1.0%NSH @ ANA

Gap is how much better the price is than the other books’ median, in points of probability (+N = more lines on the same ladder at that book are also off). Across 82,000 past outliers, a gap of 3–5 points was worth about nothing against the closing line — it’s mostly the vig — while 5+ points held positive value, which is why the default starts there. EV uses the market’s devigged price (* = estimated, no two-way market at that line). Pulled lines and quotes that stopped updating are removed; PrizePicks is excluded (its prices are placeholders).