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NBA · Price Outliers

NBA Price Outliers

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Player props where one sportsbook is well off the rest of the market on the same player, line and side, across every NBA game on the board. Ranked by how far, in points of probability, so a 200-1 that’s 100-1 elsewhere doesn’t outrank a +750 that’s +500 everywhere else. Pulled lines are dropped, quotes that stopped updating are dropped, and books whose outliers usually turn out to be stale are hidden until you ask for them, all based on how each book’s past outliers held up to the closing line.

NBA · 299 outliers · 5+ pts off the market · −150 to +1000
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299 prices
PlayerBetBookPriceMarketGapEVBook recordGame
NYANDRE DRUMMONDA. DRUMMONDo14.5 Pts + Reb altbet365+210-128 ×424.0 +4+62.8%*—CLE @ NY
NYANDRE DRUMMONDA. DRUMMONDo9.5 Rebounds altbet365+375+138 ×921.0 +5+79.2%—CLE @ NY
NYANDRE DRUMMONDA. DRUMMONDo4.5 Points altbet365-112-240 ×417.7 +2+30.2%*—CLE @ NY
GSSTEPHEN CURRYS. CURRYo9.5 Reb + Ast altbet365+320+145 ×617.0+51.0%*—GS @ HOU
NOSADDIQ BEYS. BEYo19.5 Pts + Ast altbet365+290+145 ×615.2 +3+40.2%*—BKN @ NO
BKNEGOR DEMINE. DEMINo5.5 Reb + Astbet365+145-121 ×814.0+25.0%—BKN @ NO
MILKYLE KUZMAK. KUZMAo14.5 Pts + Reb altbet365-112-201 ×513.9 +3+22.0%*—LAL @ MIL
NYJOSH HARTJ. HARTo1.5 Stealsfanduel+154-111 ×713.2 +3+5.5%+1.9%CLE @ NY
MILKYLE KUZMAK. KUZMAo9.5 Points altbet365-135-239 ×1213.1 +2+6.6%—LAL @ MIL
MILKYLE KUZMAK. KUZMAo14.5 Pts + Astbet365+125-134 ×712.8 +2+18.3%—LAL @ MIL
LALJAKE LARAVIAJ. LARAVIAo1.5 Stealsbetrivers+128-130 ×712.7 +2+4.6%−1.7%LAL @ MIL
CHINIC CLAXTONN. CLAXTONo9.5 Points altbet365+265+150 ×812.6 +2+34.7%—SA @ CHI
BOSPAYTON PRITCHARDP. PRITCHARDo24.5 Pts + Ast altbet365+400+210 ×712.3 +3+36.1%*—BOS @ TOR
OKCSHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDERS. GILGEOUS-ALEXANDERo1.5 Stealsbet365+180+109 ×1012.1 +2+25.1%—OKC @ POR
CHIMATAS BUZELISM. BUZELISo19.5 Pts + Reb + Ast altbet365-120-200 ×512.1 +3+18.0%*—SA @ CHI
LALJAKE LARAVIAJ. LARAVIAo1.5 Stealsbet365+125-130 ×712.1 +2+3.2%—LAL @ MIL
WSHANTHONY DAVISA. DAVISo2.5 Blocks altbet365+625+287 ×612.0 +2+60.9%—WSH @ IND
MILKYLE KUZMAK. KUZMAo19.5 Pts + Reb + Astbet365+135-119 ×1011.9 +2+17.5%—LAL @ MIL
MILBRAYDEN BURRIESB. BURRIESo14.5 Pts + Ast altbet365-120-195 ×511.6 +3+16.8%*—LAL @ MIL
PORSIDY CISSOKOS. CISSOKOo14.5 Pts + Reb + Astbet365+140-112 ×611.3 +1+17.0%—OKC @ POR
BOSPAYTON PRITCHARDP. PRITCHARDo19.5 Points altbet365+375+212 ×1210.9 +2+32.9%—BOS @ TOR
NYOG ANUNOBYO. ANUNOBYo24.5 Pts + Ast altbet365+300+179 ×610.8 +2+23.3%*—CLE @ NY
NYOG ANUNOBYO. ANUNOBYo29.5 Pts + Reb altbet365+400+225 ×710.8 +3+28.7%*—CLE @ NY
BOSDERRICK WHITED. WHITEo4.5 Assistsbet365+110-140 ×1210.7 +2+14.1%—BOS @ TOR
NOZION WILLIAMSONZ. WILLIAMSONo24.5 Pts + Astbet365+125-123 ×1010.7 +2+14.7%—BKN @ NO
MILBRAYDEN BURRIESB. BURRIESo19.5 Pts + Reb + Ast altnovig-122-191 ×610.7+15.0%*−1.4%LAL @ MIL
BKNJULIUS RANDLEJ. RANDLEo11.5 Reb + Astbet365+120-127 ×1010.6 +1+16.3%—BKN @ NO
BOSDERRICK WHITED. WHITEo9.5 Reb + Ast altbet365+230+145 ×610.5+18.6%*—BOS @ TOR
MEMJERAMI GRANTJ. GRANTo2.5 Assists altbet365+320+193 ×610.3+22.2%*—DEN @ MEM
CHIMATAS BUZELISM. BUZELISo7.5 Reb + Astbet365+140-107 ×810.1 +1+15.4%—SA @ CHI
NYOG ANUNOBYO. ANUNOBYo29.5 Pts + Reb + Ast altbet365+240+153 ×610.1 +2+17.7%*—CLE @ NY
MILBRAYDEN BURRIESB. BURRIESo19.5 Pts + Reb + Ast altbet365-125-191 ×610.1 +3+13.7%*—LAL @ MIL
MILBRAYDEN BURRIESB. BURRIESo19.5 Pts + Reb altbet365+150-100 ×710.0 +2+14.4%*—LAL @ MIL
NODEJOUNTE MURRAYD. MURRAYo19.5 Pts + Ast altbet365-112-169 ×610.0 +1+13.6%*—BKN @ NO
LALWALKER KESSLERW. KESSLERo2.5 Blocks altbet365+235+152 ×79.8 +3+16.5%—LAL @ MIL
BKNDAY'RON SHARPED. SHARPEo1.5 Stealsbet365+230+150 ×89.7 +2+13.8%—BKN @ NO
CHIMATAS BUZELISM. BUZELISo14.5 Pts + Ast altbet365-135-204 ×69.7 +2+12.9%*—SA @ CHI
BKNJULIUS RANDLEJ. RANDLEo29.5 Pts + Ast altbet365+270+172 ×69.7 +1+17.5%*—BKN @ NO
HOUKEVIN DURANTK. DURANTo6.5 Rebounds altbet365+190+129 ×79.2 +1+13.0%*—GS @ HOU
CHIMATAS BUZELISM. BUZELISo14.5 Pointsbet365+120-120 ×139.1 +2+13.2%—SA @ CHI
MEMJERAMI GRANTJ. GRANTo14.5 Pts + Ast altbet365+190+130 ×59.0 +2+12.4%*—DEN @ MEM
NYJOSH HARTJ. HARTo9.5 Rebounds altbet365+310+200 ×98.9 +1+16.0%*—CLE @ NY
NODERIK QUEEND. QUEENo1.5 Blocksbet365+375+234 ×48.9 +1+18.4%*—BKN @ NO
MILBRAYDEN BURRIESB. BURRIESo14.5 Points altbet365+175+121 ×108.9 +2+8.4%—LAL @ MIL
NYJALEN BRUNSONJ. BRUNSONo39.5 Pts + Reb altbet365+575+324 ×78.8 +3+27.3%*—CLE @ NY
NYMIKAL BRIDGESM. BRIDGESo1.5 Stealsbet365+240+162 ×68.7 +1+12.0%—CLE @ NY
PORJRUE HOLIDAYJ. HOLIDAYo9.5 Reb + Ast altbet365+195+135 ×58.7+11.4%*—OKC @ POR
GSDRAYMOND GREEND. GREENo14.5 Pts + Reb + Ast altbet365-135-195 ×58.7 +1+10.9%*—GS @ HOU
MEMJERAMI GRANTJ. GRANTo19.5 Pts + Reb + Ast altbet365+350+225 ×58.5 +1+15.8%*—DEN @ MEM
HOUFRED VANVLEETF. VANVLEETo9.5 Reb + Ast altbet365+265+178 ×68.5 +1+13.0%*—GS @ HOU

Gap is how much better the price is than the other books’ median, in points of probability (+N = more lines on the same ladder at that book are also off). Across 82,000 past outliers, a gap of 3–5 points was worth about nothing against the closing line — it’s mostly the vig — while 5+ points held positive value, which is why the default starts there. EV uses the market’s devigged price (* = estimated, no two-way market at that line). Pulled lines and quotes that stopped updating are removed; PrizePicks is excluded (its prices are placeholders). 55 prices from flagged books hidden — turn on Flagged books to see them.