WNBA · margins & totals

WNBA Key Numbers

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A −3 and a −3.5 are not the same bet. Where the number sits decides whether you push, and it prices the half-point you pay to move off it. This is where WNBA games actually landed — every final margin and every final total, 2003–2026. 6.6% of the last 5,733 games were decided by exactly 8.

The half-point across a number is worth exactly the share of games that land on it, so the Landed % column is the price you should be willing to pay to buy through it. A number is tagged key when it stands at least 1.3× above its neighbours — a real spike, not just a common number. Some sports have no key numbers at all, and the board says so rather than inventing them.

Closing spreadtoavailable 1–20.5

Full game · how often each margin came up5,733 games · 2003–2026 · showing margins 0–25

Bar height is how often each margin came up — that is what the half-point across it is worth. marks a key number: one that spikes above the numbers immediately around it. The two are different, so the tallest bar is not always marked. Hover or tap a bar for the detail; the spread columns below carry the market side.

Won by ⇅	Landed % ⇅	Games ⇅	Spike ⇅	Cum % ⇅	Posted ⇅	Push % ⇅
8	6.65%	381	0.59pt	45.5%	13	—
5	6.17%	354	0.20pt	26.7%	19	—
7	6.14%	352	0.01pt	38.9%	17	—
6	6.09%	349	-0.07pt	32.7%	16	—
10	6.02%	345	0.58pt	57.4%	18	—
3	5.86%	336	0.50pt	14.8%	20	5.0%
9	5.81%	333	-0.27pt	51.3%	10	—
4	5.63%	323	-0.34pt	20.5%	25	20.0%
2	5.09%	292	0.56pt	9.0%	18	—
11	5.06%	290	0.08pt	62.4%	7	—
12	4.15%	238	-0.38pt	66.6%	2	—
13	3.99%	229	0.08pt	70.6%	9	—
14	3.68%	211	0.18pt	74.2%	3	—
1	3.44%	197	-1.66pt	3.9%	14	—
15	3.00%	172	-0.25pt	77.2%	3	—
16	2.83%	162	0.01pt	80.1%	3	—
17	2.63%	151	0.01pt	82.7%	2	—
18	2.42%	139	0.27pt	85.1%	1	—
20	1.67%	96	0.16pt	88.4%	—	—
19	1.64%	94	-0.41pt	86.8%	1	—
21	1.40%	80	-0.10pt	89.8%	—	—
23	1.34%	77	0.23pt	92.3%	—	—
24	1.15%	66	0.24pt	93.4%	—	—
22	1.08%	62	-0.29pt	90.9%	—	—
25	0.75%	43	-0.20pt	94.2%	—	—
27	0.75%	43	0.05pt	95.6%	—	—
28	0.72%	41	0.04pt	96.3%	—	—
26	0.68%	39	-0.07pt	94.8%	—	—
29	0.66%	38	0.06pt	97.0%	—	—
31	0.49%	28	0.07pt	97.9%	—	—

Margins are absolute (won by N, either side) and totals are the combined final score, both including overtime — the way the full-game market settles. Segment views (halves, quarters, periods, first innings) come from the linescore tables, so a segment counts only when every one of its periods is present. All-Star games, preseason and exhibitions are excluded. Posted and Push % come from closing lines, which cover a shorter span than the scores everywhere except the NFL — there, nflverse carries the closing spread and total on every game back to 1999, so the two line up exactly. This is where the numbers actually landed — the half-point across a key number is worth exactly the games in that bar.