SGPLABResearch

NBA · book juice by market

NBA Hold

On this page

The hold (juice) every sportsbook charges on each NBA market — the book’s theoretical margin, devigged from closing two-way prices. Lower is cheaper for you. In the matrix, each market row is shaded green = cheapest → red = priciest across books, so you read a row left-to-right to see who is taking the least on that bet.

Player props run far more expensive than game lines — the same book will take ~4–5% on a spread and 6–12% on a prop. That spread across books is the single biggest cost most bettors never price in. This is what each book charges — shop the cheapest one for the market you actually bet.

NBA · hold % by market × book · closing lines
⌕
MarketDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMtheScore BetCaesarsBetRiversFanaticsHard RockFliffPrizePicksUnderdogNovigProphetXKalshiPolymarket
Moneyline4.1%3.9%4.4%4.1%4.2%4.4%4.3%5.0%6.6%··0.9%0.7%1.3%1.9%
Moneyline (3-way)7.3%·8.6%···7.7%·8.7%······
Spread4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%5.0%4.6%5.1%6.5%··1.8%1.1%1.7%3.7%
Game Total4.5%4.5%4.6%4.5%4.5%4.9%4.6%5.1%6.4%··2.0%1.3%1.6%3.6%
Team Total5.1%4.6%5.8%6.3%6.5%6.5%·6.2%8.6%······
Points6.0%5.2%6.6%6.5%7.1%7.6%6.4%6.4%9.7%13.5%13.5%8.0%6.7%·42.0%
Rebounds6.1%5.2%6.7%6.8%7.1%6.7%6.6%7.8%9.6%13.5%13.5%8.1%7.1%·41.8%
Assists6.0%5.2%6.6%7.3%7.1%6.7%6.9%7.8%9.6%13.5%13.5%8.0%7.4%·40.2%
Threes6.0%5.7%6.6%7.3%7.1%6.7%7.4%7.8%8.7%13.5%13.5%8.2%8.1%··
Steals5.9%6.0%6.7%7.7%7.2%6.7%·6.5%9.4%13.5%13.5%6.8%9.4%··
Blocks5.8%6.0%7.0%7.6%7.2%6.6%·6.3%9.4%13.5%13.5%6.4%9.2%··
Turnovers5.8%·6.7%7.0%7.2%···9.6%13.5%13.5%·11.8%··
Blocks + Steals5.8%·6.7%7.5%7.2%6.6%·6.4%9.6%13.5%13.5%11.6%12.3%··
Pts + Reb + Ast6.3%5.7%6.6%6.4%7.2%7.5%6.4%6.4%9.6%13.5%13.5%7.6%7.6%··
Pts + Reb6.3%5.7%6.6%6.4%7.2%6.7%6.4%7.8%9.6%13.5%13.5%8.5%9.1%··
Pts + Ast6.3%6.1%6.6%6.4%7.2%6.7%6.4%6.4%9.7%13.5%13.5%8.4%9.4%··
Reb + Ast6.2%5.7%6.7%6.4%7.2%6.6%6.4%6.4%9.9%13.5%13.5%7.8%9.5%··
Field Goals···7.3%···6.4%·13.5%·····
Double Double4.6%·7.4%7.5%7.1%6.6%··8.4%·13.5%4.9%6.9%10.7%·
Triple Double··7.3%4.1%6.0%6.3%··5.8%··4.4%4.7%4.1%·
Fantasy Points·········13.5%13.5%····
Frees Attempts·········13.5%·····
Frees Made···7.4%·····13.5%13.5%····

Hold = (Σ implied − 1) / Σ implied over a market’s complete outcome set, averaged per (book, market) at the closing line, main full-game markets only (alternate ladders and period lines are priced differently by design). A market needs 30+ instances to appear. Pick’em apps (PrizePicks, Underdog) post a fixed payout rather than a quoted two-way price, so their figure is the cost of the pick’em structure itself and is identical on every market. No-vig exchanges (Novig, ProphetX, Kalshi, Polymarket) charge a commission on winnings instead, which this margin does not include.