NFL · Garbage Time · winning big · Rush Yards · Last 3 Seasons

NFL Garbage Time Triggers

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Which staffs pull their starting quarterback once a game is out of reach — when they're winning big and when they're losing big — and what that does to the props. Here a blowout means a three-score lead (17+) entering the 4th quarter. The over-rate columns split each team's players by the line: the one with the highest line at the stat (the WR1 on receiving yards, the RB1 on rushing yards) against the rest. Click a row for each player.

NFL · Last 3 Seasons · winning big · O% = RUSH YD over rate · 25 teams · most often pulled first

Team	Games	QB Pulled	Top Line O%	Others O%
PHILADELPHIA EAGLESPHI	510% of all	100%Q4 +4.8m	40%vs 51%	60%vs 46%
BUFFALO BILLSBUF	919% of all	78%Q4 +8.1m	75%vs 62%	50%vs 43%
INDIANAPOLIS COLTSIND	614% of all	67%Q4 +5.7m	67%vs 50%	38%vs 50%
NEW ORLEANS SAINTSNO	37% of all	67%Q4 +11.6m	100%vs 38%	89%vs 49%
CAROLINA PANTHERSCAR	37% of all	67%Q4 +14.3m	67%vs 64%	17%vs 51%
MIAMI DOLPHINSMIA	37% of all	67%Q4 +13.8m	67%vs 50%	43%vs 38%
WASHINGTON COMMANDERSWAS	37% of all	67%Q4 +2.8m	33%vs 38%	86%vs 40%
CINCINNATI BENGALSCIN	512% of all	60%Q4 +5.0m	80%vs 45%	44%vs 46%
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTSNE	715% of all	57%Q4 +4.0m	43%vs 48%	71%vs 49%
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERSSF	716% of all	57%Q4 +13.0m	71%vs 37%	53%vs 63%
BALTIMORE RAVENSBAL	920% of all	56%Q4 +10.8m	89%vs 45%	45%vs 47%
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARSJAX	921% of all	56%Q4 +13.2m	44%vs 52%	44%vs 48%
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERSTB	49% of all	50%Q4 +13.0m	75%vs 55%	56%vs 54%
DETROIT LIONSDET	921% of all	44%Q4 +7.0m	67%vs 52%	65%vs 39%
SEATTLE SEAHAWKSSEA	715% of all	43%Q4 +12.8m	43%vs 46%	44%vs 40%
DENVER BRONCOSDEN	511% of all	40%Q4 +13.0m	60%vs 37%	69%vs 39%
LOS ANGELES RAMSLA	715% of all	29%Q4 +13.0m	57%vs 54%	47%vs 34%
GREEN BAY PACKERSGB	49% of all	25%Q4 +10.7m	25%vs 51%	67%vs 44%
ARIZONA CARDINALSARI	49% of all	25%Q4 +14.5m	25%vs 45%	33%vs 47%
LOS ANGELES CHARGERSLAC	49% of all	25%Q4 +8.5m	100%vs 35%	29%vs 47%
CHICAGO BEARSCHI	49% of all	25%Q4 +13.1m	50%vs 49%	30%vs 48%
DALLAS COWBOYSDAL	614% of all	17%Q4 +14.5m	83%vs 59%	38%vs 43%
MINNESOTA VIKINGSMIN	614% of all	17%Q4 +4.5m	83%vs 47%	29%vs 46%
ATLANTA FALCONSATL	37% of all	0%	100%vs 68%	33%vs 41%
PITTSBURGH STEELERSPIT	37% of all	0%	33%vs 56%	57%vs 44%

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NFL · Last 3 Seasons · winning big · O% = RUSH YD over rate · 25 teams · most often pulled first

Team	Games	QB Pulled	Top Line O%	Others O%
PHILADELPHIA EAGLESPHI	510% of all	100%Q4 +4.8m	40%vs 51%	60%vs 46%
BUFFALO BILLSBUF	919% of all	78%Q4 +8.1m	75%vs 62%	50%vs 43%
INDIANAPOLIS COLTSIND	614% of all	67%Q4 +5.7m	67%vs 50%	38%vs 50%
NEW ORLEANS SAINTSNO	37% of all	67%Q4 +11.6m	100%vs 38%	89%vs 49%
CAROLINA PANTHERSCAR	37% of all	67%Q4 +14.3m	67%vs 64%	17%vs 51%
MIAMI DOLPHINSMIA	37% of all	67%Q4 +13.8m	67%vs 50%	43%vs 38%
WASHINGTON COMMANDERSWAS	37% of all	67%Q4 +2.8m	33%vs 38%	86%vs 40%
CINCINNATI BENGALSCIN	512% of all	60%Q4 +5.0m	80%vs 45%	44%vs 46%
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTSNE	715% of all	57%Q4 +4.0m	43%vs 48%	71%vs 49%
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERSSF	716% of all	57%Q4 +13.0m	71%vs 37%	53%vs 63%
BALTIMORE RAVENSBAL	920% of all	56%Q4 +10.8m	89%vs 45%	45%vs 47%
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARSJAX	921% of all	56%Q4 +13.2m	44%vs 52%	44%vs 48%
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERSTB	49% of all	50%Q4 +13.0m	75%vs 55%	56%vs 54%
DETROIT LIONSDET	921% of all	44%Q4 +7.0m	67%vs 52%	65%vs 39%
SEATTLE SEAHAWKSSEA	715% of all	43%Q4 +12.8m	43%vs 46%	44%vs 40%
DENVER BRONCOSDEN	511% of all	40%Q4 +13.0m	60%vs 37%	69%vs 39%
LOS ANGELES RAMSLA	715% of all	29%Q4 +13.0m	57%vs 54%	47%vs 34%
GREEN BAY PACKERSGB	49% of all	25%Q4 +10.7m	25%vs 51%	67%vs 44%
ARIZONA CARDINALSARI	49% of all	25%Q4 +14.5m	25%vs 45%	33%vs 47%
LOS ANGELES CHARGERSLAC	49% of all	25%Q4 +8.5m	100%vs 35%	29%vs 47%
CHICAGO BEARSCHI	49% of all	25%Q4 +13.1m	50%vs 49%	30%vs 48%
DALLAS COWBOYSDAL	614% of all	17%Q4 +14.5m	83%vs 59%	38%vs 43%
MINNESOTA VIKINGSMIN	614% of all	17%Q4 +4.5m	83%vs 47%	29%vs 46%
ATLANTA FALCONSATL	37% of all	0%	100%vs 68%	33%vs 41%
PITTSBURGH STEELERSPIT	37% of all	0%	33%vs 56%	57%vs 44%